Investors in Fidelity Bank Plc have earned about 406% in capital gains over the past five years, ranking above all other major return benchmarks in the Nigerian stock market and the entire banking sector.
Trading reports at the Nigerian stock market for the five years between May 31, 2019 and May 31, 2024, showed that Fidelity Bank outperformed all key indices in the stock market.
Fidelity Bank’s share price rose by 405.95% over the period, representing an average annual capital gain of 81.19 per cent.
These returns underscore Fidelity Bank’s immense value as a stock for all times, helping investors to hedge against inflation while preserving significant long-term value.
Comparative analysis showed that Fidelity Bank outperformed all other major market indices with the bank’s average annual return for the period twice the average return by the overall market and almost four times of average return in the banking sector.
The All Share Index (ASI) – the common, value-based index that tracks all share prices at the Nigerian Exchange (NGX), which is widely regarded as Nigeria’s benchmark for the equities market, recorded a five-year return of 215.83%, an average annual return of 43.17%.
Contrary to the significantly above-average performance of Fidelity Bank, NGX Banking which tracks the banking sector, doubled by 118.92% over the five years, representing an average annual return of 23.78 per cent, more than 57.4% points below Fidelity Bank’s average return.
Two other major price indices- the NGX 30 Index and NGX Main Board Index, recorded five-year cumulative returns of 182.38 per cent and 263.18% respectively, representing average annual gains of 36.48% and 52.64% respectively.
The NGX 30 Index tracks the share prices of the 30 largest companies in the stock market while the NGX Main Board Index represents the largest and most diversified group of listed companies on the stock exchange.
Fidelity Bank is quoted on the main board, like most other major banks and companies on the stock market.
The average annual return of 81.2 per cent underlines that Fidelity Bank provides a substantial return for investors, even where such investors had borrowed money at the ruling interest rate and the invested fund was adjusted for the impact of the inflation rate.
Nigeria’s inflation rate peaked at a high of 33.69 per cent in April 2024 while the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) recently increased the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), otherwise known as benchmark interest rate, to 26.25%.
Fidelity Bank’s share price, which closed May 31, 2019, at N1.68 per share, rose successively to N8.50 per share by the end of May 2024.
The ASI had, during the period, risen from its opening index of 31,069.37 points to close the weekend at 98,125.73 points.
The NGX Banking Index rose from 361.57 points to 791.54 points.
The NGX 30 Index, which opened the period at 1,286.68 points, closed the period at 3,633.28 points.
The NGX Main Board Index appreciated from 1,267.54 points to close at 4,603.49 points.
Market analysts are unanimous that share prices are illustrative of the fundamental values of quoted companies.
Managing Director, of HighCap Securities Limited, Mr. David Adnori, said the price of any stock in the market is a correct reflection of the market value for the stock.
A five-year review of the audited reports and accounts of Fidelity Bank showed a strong correlation between the bank’s upwardly share pricing trend and expansive growth in its business operations.
The bank’s pre-tax profit had risen from N30.35 billion in 2019 to N124.26 billion in 2023, an increase of 309.4 per cent.
Net profit after tax also grew by 203.3 per cent from N42.80 billion in 2019 to N129.80 billion in 2023. Earnings per share have risen successively from 98 kobo in 2019 to N3.11 per share in 2023.
The bank’s balance sheet had expanded by 195.26 per cent from N2.11 trillion in 2019 to N6.23 trillion in 2023, which is the fastest growth in the industry.
Customers’ deposits, which underlines the competitive market share, more than tripled from N1.225 trillion in 2019 to N4.01 trillion in 2023, an increase of 227.35 per cent.
Shareholders’ funds had also grown from N234.03 billion to N437.31 billion.
Market pundits expected Fidelity Bank’s share price to continue to rise, citing several factors that illustrated the upside potential for the stock.
Independent investment research reports by many market pundits showed that Fidelity Bank was assigned a “buy” ticker, a recommendation to investors to consider the potential attractive returns of the bank.
The research reports were based on the historical and current operational performances of the bank as well as the clear-sighted implementation of the bank’s growth plan.
The reports also considered the quality of the board and management and the general human capital and resources of the bank.
The investment advisory reports included those of Afrinvest Group, FSDH Capital and CardinalStone among others.
Analysts were unanimous that Fidelity Bank’s share price could double in the period ahead given a professional assessment of top traditional performance parameters including the company’s operational reports, investors’ preferences and projections.
Already, the interim report and account of the bank for the first quarter ended March 31, 2024, showed that the bank started the current business year on stronger footing with three-digit growths across key performance indicators.
The three-month report, released at the NGX, showed that gross earnings increased by 89.9 per cent to N192.1 billion in the first quarter of 2024.
The bank’s top-line performance continued to be driven by broad-based growths across income lines with interest income rising by 90.7 per cent and non-interest income growing by 84 per cent in the first quarter of 2024.
Growth in interest income was primarily spurred by a higher yield environment and strong earning assets base, while the increase in non-interest income was led by double-digit growth in account maintenance charges, foreign exchange (forex)-related income, trade, banking services, and remittances, supported by increased customer transactions.
Profit before tax doubled by 120 per cent to N39.5 billion in the first quarter of 2024 as against N17.9 billion in the first quarter of 2023.
The bank’s performance was driven by expanding market share with total deposits rising by 17 per cent within the three months to N4.7 trillion, compared with N4 trillion recorded at the end of 2023.
The bank also increased its support for national economic growth with net loans and advances rising by 21 per cent from N3.1 trillion at the end of 2023 to N3.7 trillion by March 2024.
Fidelity has actually performing excellently in the last five years and the share value may rally beyond triple within the next five years.
It is therefore recommended as a buy portfolio.